Voluntary Carbon Market Reports

Forecasting Prices, Supply & Demand in the Voluntary Carbon Market

Our new forecast report leverages years of data and analysis to present critical future trends for the voluntary carbon market.

Among other things, in the report, we review some of the key findings from our Base Case Scenario. The base case below projects a growth scenario that sees companies offsetting a portion of their missed targets. Here we expect the market to grow slowly until 2032, as oversupply of credits means that there is enough supply to satisfy demand until that year.

The primary market value stays in the single digits until 2033, at which point it quickly increases, reaching ~$40b by 2040 (in nominal terms).

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VCM 2024 Review &
Emerging Trends for 2025

In this report, we analyze the latest trends in the Voluntary Carbon Market, highlighting the growing focus on quality and the shift toward removal-based credits like NBS and engineered solutions.

We explore key developments, such as ICVCM’s first CCP approvals, increased off-take agreements, and the integration of VCM credits into compliance markets.

To conclude, we discuss the challenges and opportunities ahead, from outdated credits to the potential impact of Article 6, offering insights into what’s next for the VCM.

Corporate Emissions Data & Findings

In this report, we take an in-depth look at recent corporate emissions data and emerging trends.

We begin with an overview of AlliedOffsets’ Corporate Emissions Data, focusing on developments in Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions over the past three years.

We then continue with insights into our data collection process, highlighting key learnings and outlining our methodology for data gathering and analysis. Following this, we delve into our main findings across Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions, examining sector-specific shifts since 2019.

To conclude, we present a table featuring selected companies, showcasing how their Scope emissions have decreased (or increased!) over the last year!

Converging Pathways: The Intersection of Article 6 and the VCM

In this report, we provide a comprehensive overview and analysis of key trends and insights shaping the carbon markets. Our focus spans several areas, including the ongoing progress of Article 6.2 cooperative agreements, the latest on Article 6.4 project transitions, and an evaluation of compliance-eligible credits across various schemes like CORSIA and domestic carbon levies. We also go into detail about the growing convergence between voluntary and compliance markets, highlighting the increasing use of VCM credits for regulatory purposes.

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Credits Bridging Voluntary and Compliance Carbon Markets

Our new policy report sheds light on the intersection between the voluntary and compliance markets.

In this policy report, we cover:

• The availability of VCM/Compliance credits
• Demand and supply trends of compliance-eligible VCM credits
• The top buyers of compliance-eligible credits
• Chile’s Green Tax Scheme, Singapore’s carbon tax-eligible credits, and much more!